Flash Flood Watch Pre-Issued for DFW

The National Weather Service has pre-issued a Flash Flood Watch for 32 counties from Temple to Gainesville along both sides of Interstate 35.  The Flash Flood Watch is generally centered on the DFW area although the highest predicted rainfall totals are in Northeast Texas. 
Rainfall totals are expected to be between 2 and 5 inches but 3 to 6-inch rainfall totals are possible anywhere in DFW with 5 to 6-inch totals along broad swaths of I-30 and I-20 between Tyler and the Louisiana border.  A WATCH means it is likely that heavy rainfall or flooding will cause a threat to life and/or property in the watch-area- especially on streets and freeways.   
Anytime Sunday night, showers and thunderstorms could break out in this area, but the most likely timeframe for severe storms and heavy rains is from Monday morning through Tuesday night. 
This will be a prolonged period of threatening weather with repeated outbreaks of thunderstorms.  We can also expect potentially-damaging wind gusts of 50-70 mph, large hail and frequent lightning. 
Prepare NOW for this severe weather event by reviewing your storm safety-plans at home, work and school.  KNOW where you will take shelter if threatening weather approaches.  The best storm-shelters are on the lowest floor of your home away from windows- possibly a pantry or bathroom.  The National Weather Service and the American Red Cross both have many good resources with helpful information on surviving threatening weather.   
Whether you keep track of the weather by radio, TV or internet, remember, a power outage may limit your ability to hear critical warnings or listen to live updates on storms. 
Check your supply of batteries for radios and flashlights. 
If you have a NOAA Weather Radio, make sure it is turned on and set to “Alert.”

Friday March 16 Forecast Update

The Storm Prediction Center has placed North Texas at risk of severe weather Monday and possibly Tuesday as well. 
A massive storm system approaching the Pacific Northwest today will be just west of North Texas by Monday.  It has the potential to produce the full range of severe weather including wind damage, hail damage, lightning and especially flooding from DFW into East and Northeast Texas Monday night through Wednesday morning. 
The storm system could also produce multiple or possibly proloned power outages.  Plan now for severe weather next week.  If it should happen to miss us, it’s only a matter of time before we’ll have another threat of springtime severe weather. 

Today, Cloudy, Breezy, Humid, 79/66
Saturday…Early Storms mainly west, Cloudy, Windy, 78/67
Sunday…Storms late, 80/66
Monday…Rain and Thunderstorms, 77/57
Tuesday, More Rain and Thunderstorms, 68

Thursday March 15 Forecast Update

cloudy, breezy, humid and warmer-than-normal conditions will be the rule across North Texas through Sunday. 
Looking ahead…a massive Pacific storm system will be approaching our area early next week with the full range of severe weather potential here Monday through Wednesday.  Please use this advance warning to prepare for a prolonged outbreak of heavy rain and strong storms.  There is a possibility that the parent storm system will weaken or miss Texas, but we can’t afford to take anything for granted this time of year.

Today, Cloudy, Breezy, Humid, 79/65
Friday, Cloudy, Windy, Humid, Storms northeast, 78/66
Saturday, Storms mainly north, 79/66
Sunday, Cloudy, Windy, Isolated storms late, 79/66
Monday, Scattered Storms, 77

Wednesday March 14 Forecast Update

Prevailing conditions will remain mostly cloudy, windy, increasingly humid with above-normal temperatures and a slight chance of isolated showers or storms late in the day. 
A stronger upper-level storm system setting up in the western U.S. next week could produce strong to severe storms in West and North Texas next Monday through Wednesday. 

Today, Cloudy, Breezy, 77/66
Thursday, Cloudy, Breezy, Isolated showers, 78/65
Friday, Cloudy, Breezy, 77/65
Saturday, Cloudy, Breezy, Isolated showers, 78/64
Sunday, Isolated PM Storms, 80

Tuesday March 13 Forecast Update

Considerable clouds, south winds and humidity will be the norm across North Texas. 
Such conditions could produce isolated showers and storms late each day..mainly southeast of DFW. 

Today, PtCldy, Breezy, 81/65
Wednesday, Cloudy, Windy, 79/65
Thursday, PM Storms, 77/64
Friday, PM Storms, 77/66
Saturday, PM Storms, 78

Monday March 12 Forecast Update

Warm temperatures, south winds and Gulf moisture will hasten the arrival of Spring. 
DFW weather will be generally rain-free, however isolated showers and storms will approach the area almost daily from southeast. 

Today, A.M. Fog, Clearing, 81/60
Tuesday, PtCldy, Breezy, Humid, P.M. Storms mainly southeast, 79/62
Wednesday, PtCldy, Humid, Rain mainly southeast, 78/63
Thursday, Cloudy, Breezy, 79/64
Friday, Cloudy, Windy, Humid, Isolated storms, 78

Friday March 9 Weekend Forecast Update

Windy and chilly with scattered showers in DFW today, heavier rains from the Hill Country through Central Texas. 
The entire eastern third of Texas including DFW can expect more and heavier rains Saturday ending Sunday. 

Today, Windy, Rainy, 54/40
Saturday, More Rain, 51/46
Sunday, Rain ending, 65/55
Monday, PtCldy, 78/60
Tuesday, PtCldy, Windy, 80

Thursday March 8 Forecast Update: Severe Weather Possible

An upper-level storm system will meander between the four-corners area and El Paso today, tomorrow and Saturday, spreading outbreaks of rain and thunderstorms across much of Texas, Oklahoma, the Plains and the Ozarks.  There is a slight risk of severe storms with large hail, damaging winds and deadly lightning from daybreak through late tonight.  It will be windy and noticeably cooler behind a strong cold front tonight and tomorrow.  An additional disturbance could set off more heavy rains in North and Northeast Texas Friday night through Saturday night.  Rainfall totals could range from 2″ in Fort Worth to 5″ in Tyler today through Sunday. 

Today, Storms Increasing, 70/43
Friday, Windy, Rainy, 49/40
Saturday, Rainy, Cooler, 50/43
Sunday, Rain ending, 67/55
Monday, Clearing, 76

Wednesday March 7 Forecast Update

Highlights:  Best chance of the worst storms is Thursday night. 
Best chance of the heaviest rains is Friday night through Saturday night. 

An upper-level storm system, surface low and cold front will converge on the DFW area for scattered strong to severe storms Thursday night, a brief break in the action Friday, followed by heavier rains Friday night through Saturday night. 

Today, Cloudy, Windy, Isolated rains mainly east of DFW, 73/67
Thursday, Shower early, Storms late, 73/50
Friday, Scattered showers, Windy, 55/47
Saturday, More rain, 60/45
Sunday, Rain ending, 70

Tuesday March 6 Forecast Update

The Storm Prediction Center has placed Central, Northeast and North Texas under a slight risk of severe thunderstorms on Thursday. 
An upper level storm system approaching from the southwest and a cold front approaching from the north will converge on North Texas Thursday night in a warm, moist unstable Gulf airmass. 
All the necessary ingredients will be in place for a large-scale severe weather outbreak Thursday and Thursday night.  How strong each ingredient is and how each interacts with each other will determine the nature and severity of the tornado, hail or flooding threat. 

Use today and tomorrow to prepare for potential power outages between Thursday and Sunday.  Check batteries for radio and flashlights and re-establish your action plan if severe weather approaches our area.  
Severe weather season is HERE in North Texas.     

Today, PtCldy, Wind Advisory, 72/60
Wednesday, Windy, Spotty Showers, 71/65
Thursday, Severe Storms possible, 75/55
Friday, Storms, Flooding possible, 62/44
Saturday, Rain ending, 61

Monday March 5 Forecast Update

Severe Weather Season is underway in Tornado Alley as of now. 
52 fatalities were recorded from severe, flooding and tornadic thunderstorms last week in several states. 
This week’s severe weather outbreak appears likely to develop much closer to DFW between Thursday, March 8 and Saturday, March 10. 
Prepare NOW by answering these questions:
1.  How will I get warnings as soon as they are issued; Radio, TV, NOAA Weather Radio, Personal cell-phone notification, Website notifications, etc.?
2.  Where will I take shelter;  at work, school, home, on the road? 

3.  Where will I get updated information on storm movements and damage in the event of a power outage? 

Now the forecast: 

Today, Sunny, 76/50
Tuesday, Windy, 75/60
Wednesday, Cldy, Windy, Spotty showers, 70/63
Thursday, Storms, 72/50
Friday, Storms, 62

Friday March 2 Weekend Forecast Update

A moderate cold front will bring DFW temperatures down to more normal levels this weekend.  Rain looks unlikely until the middle of next week. 

Today, Sunny, Breezy, 74/42
Saturday, Sunny, 65/40
Sunday, Sunny, 73/50
Monday, Sunny, 76/50
Tuesday, PtCldy, Windy, 74

Thursday March 1 Forecast Update

Breezy, warm conditions will give way to a new cold front this weekend. 
No rain expected here. 

Today, Sunny, Breezy, 82/60
Friday, Storms east, 75/40
Saturday, Sunny, Breezy, 62/38
Sunday, Sunny, 72/45
Monday, Sunny, 71

Wednesday Feb 29 Forecast Update

Despite a cold front moving through DFW early this morning, temperatures will remain warmer than normal until the weekend. 

Today, Clearing, Breezy, 77/50
Thursday, Sunny, Breezy, 83/60
Friday, PtCldy, Storms east, 78/40
Saturday, Sunny, Breezy, 65/42
Sunday, Sunny, 70

Tuesday Feb 28 2012

Gusty winds will be a nuisance in DFW as a major storm system passes through the Plains. 
No more than isolated storms are forecast in North Texas tonight. 

Today, Cloudy, Windy, Shwrs-Tstms, 74/58
Wednesday, Clearing 75/48
Thursday, Sunny, Breezy, 82/62
Friday, Sunny, 77/37
Saturday, Sunny, 60

Monday Feb 27 Forecast Update

Spotty showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible over the next two evenings, otherwise DFW looks generally dry and warm most of this week. 

Today, Mostly Cloudy, 66/58
Tuesday, Isolated showers, storms late, 72/52
Wednesday, Clearing, 75/46
Thursday, Sunny, Breezy, 78/58
Friday, PtCldy, Windy, 74

Friday Feb 24 Weekend Forecast Update

A brief taste of winter temperatures will be over by Saturday night. 
A dry, windy, warming trend will take hold through early next week. 

Today, Clearing, Windy, 58/36
Saturday, Sunny, 62/42
Sunday, PtCldy, Windy, 65/50
Monday, PtCldy, Windy, 70/57
Tuesday, Cloudy, Rain mainly east, 75

Thursday Feb 23 Forecast Update

This week’s warmup will peak at slightly above 80 this afternoon before the next cold front blows through dry. 

Today, Sunny, Windy, 81/41
Friday, PtCldy, Breezy, 60/38
Saturday, PtCldy, 64/44
Sunday, PtCldy, Windy, 66/50
Monday, PtCldy, Breezy, 68

Wednesday Feb 22 Forecast Update

DFW will have a windy warming trend through Thursday before sharply cooler temperatures move in on the next cold front Thursday night. 

Today, Sunny, Windy, 78/50
Thursday, Sunny, Windy, 82/42
Friday, Sunny, Windy, 60/35
Saturday, PtCldy, 65/45
Sunday, PtCldy, Windy, 70

Tuesday Feb 21 Forecast Update

Warm, windy and rainfree weather will dominate conditions across North Texas until the next cold front blows through DFW Thursday night/Friday morning. 

Today, Sunny, Breezy, 68/50
Wednesday, Sunny, Windy, 75/55
Thursday, PtCldy, Windy, 82/40
Friday, Sunny, Windy, 60/38
Saturday, Sunny, 65

Monday Feb 20 Forecast Update

After 1-2″ of rain Friday and Saturday, North Texas will enjoy generally dry and warmer weather most of this week. 

Today, PtCldy, Windy, 65/38 (Isolated PM shwrs)
Tuesday, Clearing, Breezy, 68/52
Wednesday, Sunny, Breezy, 74/50
Thursday, PtCldy, Windy, 75/45
Friday, Windy, 55

Friday Feb 17 Weekend Forecast Update

Rainy weather is moving in earlier than previously forecast and may linger longer.  The parent storm system is most of a thousand miles southwest of DFW in the Sonoran desert southeast of Yuma, Arizona.  But it has triggered widespread lift and moisture that is spreading across Texas from southwest to northeast.  Heaviest rains will remain well south of I-20 but occasional showers will be in the DFW area from this morning through Saturday afternoon. 

Today, Rainy, 60/50
Saturday, Rain ending late, Breezy, 53/37
Sunday, Clearing 60/40
Monday, Cloudy, 62/50
Tuesday, Rain, 64

Thursday Feb 16 Forecast Update

A series of frequent storm systems riding the sub-tropical Pacific jet stream will continue to give DFW a chance of additional rains every few days.  Our next chance of rain is Friday night with another chance of rain on Tuesday.  Temperatures will remain relatively mild for February. 

Today, Mostly Cloudy, Breezy, 60/43
Friday, Rain, Scattered storms by evening, 58/44
Saturday, PtCldy, Breezy, 55/35
Sunday, Sunny, 60/40
Monday, Cloudy, 65

Wednesday Feb 15 Forecast Update

Rain developing this morning across much of North Texas could intensify into stronger storms east of DFW after noon today.  Following the rain, rapid clearing and drying trend will produce a high in the 70′s this afternoon.  Highs and lows will be closer to normal levels (60/40) the rest of the week. 

Today, Widely-scattered Rain, Storms, ending after Noon, 75/40
Thursday, Sunny, Breezy, 60/40
Friday, Cloudy, Evening showers and storms, 61/45
Saturday, Rain ending, 58/38
Sunday, Sunny, 60

Tuesday Feb 14th Forecast Update

Dense Fog Advisory across North Texas through 11 a.m. 
Next chance of rain Wednesday morning and possibly again Saturday. 

Today, Fog early, PtCldy late, 63/55
Wednesday, Storms early, Clearing, Breezy late, 73/43
Thursday, Sunny, 59/40
Friday, 62/45
Saturday, Widely Scattered Storms, 58

Special Weather Update Mon Feb 13

Mixed precip is ending from west to east across the DFW area. 
West of Fort Worth, at Weatherford in Parker County, about 1″ of snow was observed on grassy areas and rooftops, but temperatures remained at or slightly above freezing at 4:30 a.m. 
Bridges, overpasses and flyovers may have a few slick spots west of Fort Worth this morning, but most locales are simply wet, as the mixed precip melted on contact with the surface.  Near freezing temperatures will begin to rise shortly after daybreak.  Scattered showers and storms are possible anywhere in North and Northeast Texas through noon today. 

Today, Rain ending, 50/40
Tuesday, Mostly Sunny, 62/54
Wednesday, Windy, Scattered storms, 70/45
Thursday, Clearing, Windy, 54/38
Friday, Sunny, 60

Special Weather Update 6:30P Sun 2/12: Winter Weather Advisory NW of Dallas.

Although temperatures are expected to remain generally above freezing overnight, areas of rain, sleet and snow is moving into the DFW area this evening.  Minor accumulations are possible as close as Weatherford, Decatur, Denton and Sherman/Denison.  Freezing precip will likely be observed in the DFW area but should not accumulate.  A low-level jet of warm Gulf moisture will be arriving ‘just in time’ to stabilize temperatures between midnight and daybreak.

Special Weather Update: Winter Weather Advisory Northwest of DFW Sunday night

Here is the latest from forecasters at the National Weather Service:

“An upper level disturbance will bring widespread precipitation to the region beginning this afternoon and lasting until Monday morning. Areas north of a Lampasas to Cleburne to Emory line are likely to see a mix of rain…sleet and snow this evening and into the early morning hours Monday. Areas north of an Eastland to Mineral Wells to Sherman line are likely to accumulate up to an inch of snow and a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for these locations. Temperatures will quickly warm Monday…ending the threat of winter precip. There are still uncertainties regarding the exact amounts and how far south the winter precipitation will actually reach. Residents should check back later today for a fine-tuned forecast.” 

We are fortunate that upper level temperatures and moisture are cold enough to support mostly snow or sleet instead of ice, which would lead to excess weight and stress on power lines.  One other blessing is that it’s not nearly as cold as it was just over a year ago in early February, which placed stress on the overall power grid.  But if sleet and snow fall in North Texas, it is inevitable that more than a few accidents could strike power poles near streets and highways.  And it is always a good idea to be ready for temporary outages as a matter of routine. 

Today, Increasing clouds, Rain-mix tonight, 34
Monday, Rain ending late, 49/40
Tuesday, Clearing, 64/48
Wednesday, PM Storms, 70/49
Thursday, Clearing, 62

Special Weather Update: Sat Feb 11. Winter Weather Possible in North Texas Sunday Night

No doubt you’ve already fealized how brisk and chilly it is this Saturday morning. 
The weakest southwestern edge of an Arctic front, bringing bitter cold to much of the nation east of the Mississippi today, is slowly backing up through the northeastern third of the state.
The cold air will begin to roll slowly east tomorrow (Sunday) but temperatures may be near freezing tomorrow night when the next upper level disturbance begins to spread precipitation from the Panhandle and West Texas eastward into North Texas.  Colder areas near the Red River are mostly likely to get a light coating of snow or ice but, depending on the breaks, we might see a mix of precip here in DFW Sunday night, before the warmer, wetter airmass from the west displaces the sub-freezing temperatures in our area early Monday morning.  There is a narrow window of winter-weather-threat and this forecast has a great deal of uncertainty with it.

Here’s today’s 5-Day Forecast for DFW:

Today, Sunny, Windy, Cold, 42/25
Sunday,  Cloudy, Rain late, 45/34* (too close for comfort)
Monday, Rain, ending by PM, 53/38
Tuesday,  Sunny, 64/49
Wednesday, Cloudy, Chance of storms, 70

Friday Feb 9 Weekend Forecast Update

Rain is ending from west to east across the area this morning. 
Gusty northwest winds are moving in…and North and Northeast Texas will get a glancing blow of Arctic air this weekend.  The rest of the nation east of the Mississippi will have much colder weather. 

Today, Clearing, Windy, 54/29
Saturday, Sunny, Breezy, 44/27
Sunday, PtCldy, Late night rains, 48/36
Monday, Rain ending, Cloudy, 54/40
Tuesday, Sunny, 65

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